Scottish Premiership, round 12 · Saturday, 31 October, MSK
Kilmarnock — St. Johnstone
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 31 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Kilmarnock are slightly stronger: 43% against 30%, draw 27%.
2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).
Over 2.5 goals — 54%, both teams to score — 59%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Kilmarnock are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Kilmarnock — St. Johnstone What is xG? | 1.6–1.3 | |
| Kilmarnock not to lose | 70% | |
| St. Johnstone not to lose | 57% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 59% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 41% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 54% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 46% |
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- Handicap Kilmarnock
- Kilmarnock goals
- St. Johnstone goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 10.10away · Rangers1:3
- 19.09Heart of Midlothian1:1
- 15.09away · Hibernian1:0
- 05.09away · Aberdeen0:0
- 02.09St. Mirren0:1
- 11.10away · Aberdeen1:0
- 19.09Falkirk1:1
- 09.09Celtic0:1
- 06.09Hibernian2:1
- 02.09away · Dundee FC1:1
Head to head
- 02.08.2026St. Johnstone — Kilmarnock4:3
- 03.05.2025St. Johnstone — Kilmarnock0:2
- 15.02.2025Kilmarnock — St. Johnstone3:1
- 23.11.2024St. Johnstone — Kilmarnock1:0
- 11.08.2024Kilmarnock — St. Johnstone0:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4, Championship round | Dundee FC | 8 | 4 | +3 | 13 |
| 5, Championship round | St. Johnstone | 8 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 6, Championship round | Dundee United | 8 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 11, Relegation round | Falkirk | 8 | 1 | -4 | 6 |
| 12, Relegation round | Kilmarnock | 8 | 1 | -11 | 5 |
Scottish Premiership on the same day
- MotherwellSt. Mirrenpreliminary5227221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →