Uzbekistan Super League, round 23 · Friday, 9 October, MSK
Kokand 1912 — Mashal Muborak
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
3:0Came true
In short
Final score 3:0: the model's most likely outcome, Kokand 1912 to win (61%), came true.
Kokand 1912 are clear favourites: 61% against 14% for the opponent, draw 25%.
The model expects few goals: 2.0 in total, against a competition average of 2.7.
Over 2.5 goals — 32%, both teams to score — 33%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Kokand 1912 are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Kokand 1912 — Mashal Muborak What is xG? | 1.4–0.6 | |
| Kokand 1912 not to lose | 86% | |
| Mashal Muborak not to lose | 39% | |
| No draw | 75% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 33% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 67% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 32% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 68% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Kokand 1912
- Kokand 1912 goals
- Mashal Muborak goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 20.09away · Surkhon-20110:1
- 10.09away · Andijon1:2
- 05.09Dinamo Samarkand1:1
- 24.08Buxoro1:1
- 20.08away · Bunyodkor Tashkent1:0
- 19.09Pakhtakor Tashkent1:2
- 11.09away · Lokomotiv Tashkent0:3
- 05.09away · Sogdiana2:5
- 26.08Navbahor Namangan0:2
- 19.08Andijon0:1
Head to head
- 17.07.2026Mashal Muborak — Kokand 19121:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Surkhon-2011 | 23 | 7 | -9 | 27 |
| 13 | Kokand 1912 | 23 | 5 | -8 | 23 |
| 14 | Xorazm | 23 | 5 | -14 | 22 |
| 15 | Bunyodkor Tashkent | 23 | 7 | -16 | 22 |
| 16 | Mashal Muborak | 23 | 1 | -36 | 4 |
Next matches
- Mashal MuborakAGMK15 October · Uzbekistan Super League1522632The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.5
- Kokand 1912Neftchi Fargona16 October · Uzbekistan Super League1824582The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.6
Uzbekistan Super League on the same day
- 4727261The most likely outcome came true: 13:2Final score 3:2. Model's score: 2:0.2.7
- 6919121The most likely outcome came true: 13:1Final score 3:1. Model's score: 2:1.2.9
- 5325221The most likely outcome came true: 12:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 1:0.2.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 61% will not happen in roughly 39 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →