Belgian Pro League, round 9 · Friday, 23 October, MSK
Kortrijk — KV Mechelen
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 23 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
KV Mechelen are slightly stronger: 40% against 31%, draw 29%.
2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).
Over 2.5 goals — 45%, both teams to score — 52%.
Why
- By the strength ratings KV Mechelen are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Kortrijk — KV Mechelen What is xG? | 1.1–1.3 | |
| Kortrijk not to lose | 60% | |
| KV Mechelen not to lose | 69% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 52% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 48% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 45% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 55% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
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- Handicap Kortrijk
- Kortrijk goals
- KV Mechelen goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10away · Genk0:3
- 20.09SK Beveren1:0
- 13.09away · RAAL La Louvière0:3
- 06.09Zulte Waregem0:2
- 03.09away · Anderlecht0:1
- 11.10St.Truiden4:3
- 19.09away · Lommel0:0
- 11.09Anderlecht0:1
- 05.09Westerlo0:4
- 29.08away · RAAL La Louvière2:2
Head to head
- 29.11.2024Kortrijk — KV Mechelen3:1
- 20.10.2024KV Mechelen — Kortrijk3:0
- 24.02.2024KV Mechelen — Kortrijk3:0
- 26.11.2023Kortrijk — KV Mechelen0:3
- 21.01.2023KV Mechelen — Kortrijk3:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Royal Antwerp | 8 | 2 | -8 | 7 |
| 14 | KV Mechelen | 8 | 1 | -8 | 6 |
| 15 | OH Leuven | 8 | 1 | -8 | 5 |
| 17, Relegation | Cercle Brugge | 8 | 0 | -7 | 3 |
| 18, Relegation | Kortrijk | 8 | 1 | -16 | 3 |
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →