Ukrainian Premier League, round 9 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK

Kryvbas — LNZ Cherkasy

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Model prediction for 18 October

Kryvbas36%
Draw31%
LNZ Cherkasy33%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Evenly matched: Kryvbas 36%, LNZ Cherkasy 33%, draw 31%.

2.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).

Over 2.5 goals — 41%, both teams to score — 50%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Kryvbas — LNZ Cherkasy What is xG?1.2–1.1
Kryvbas not to lose67%
LNZ Cherkasy not to lose64%
No draw69%
Both teams to score: yes50%
Both teams to score: no50%
Total over 2.541%
Total under 2.559%

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  • Handicap Kryvbas
  • Kryvbas goals
  • LNZ Cherkasy goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Kryvbas

  • 18.09away · Polissya Zhytomyr0:1
  • 05.09FC Kolos Kovalivka2:2
  • 30.08away · Chornomorets Odesa0:1
  • 15.08Liviy Bereh1:1
  • 09.08away · Zorya3:1

LNZ Cherkasy

  • 11.10Kudrivka2:1
  • 20.09away · Shakhtar Donetsk0:3
  • 12.09Obolon Kyiv3:1
  • 06.09away · Dynamo Kyiv0:0
  • 30.08Veres Rivne0:1

Head to head

  • 05.04.2026Kryvbas — LNZ Cherkasy0:3
  • 28.09.2025LNZ Cherkasy — Kryvbas0:0
  • 26.04.2025LNZ Cherkasy — Kryvbas0:0
  • 26.10.2024Kryvbas — LNZ Cherkasy3:1
  • 23.02.2024LNZ Cherkasy — Kryvbas0:3

Full record: 6 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
6Zorya832310–12-211
7LNZ Cherkasy83237–9-211
8Veres Rivne82336–9-39
12Liviy Bereh71425–6-17
13, Relegation play-offKryvbas61237–10-35
14, Relegation play-offChornomorets Odesa71244–9-55

Season 2026/27

Full table

Ukrainian Premier League on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 36% will not happen in roughly 64 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →