Segunda Division, round 10 · Saturday, 17 October, MSK
Las Palmas — Castellón
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 17 October
In short
Castellón are slightly stronger: 41% against 31%, draw 29%.
2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 51%, both teams to score — 57%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Castellón are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Las Palmas — Castellón What is xG? | 1.3–1.5 | |
| Las Palmas not to lose | 59% | |
| Castellón not to lose | 69% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 57% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 43% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 51% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 49% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Las Palmas
- Las Palmas goals
- Castellón goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · Mallorca1:3
- 04.10Real Valladolid2:2
- 27.09away · Eibar2:3
- 20.09Burgos CF1:2
- 12.09away · Cádiz1:0
- 11.10away · FC Andorra0:1
- 04.10AD Ceuta FC1:1
- 28.09away · Leganés2:0
- 19.09Tenerife5:0
- 12.09away · Girona2:1
Head to head
- 21.02.2026Las Palmas — Castellón1:1
- 30.11.2025Castellón — Las Palmas1:0
- 17.12.2019Castellón — Las Palmas0:2
Table
Segunda Division on the same day
- 3027432The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.0
- 4630241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:01.9
- 5227211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →