Austrian Bundesliga, round 11 · Saturday, 31 October, MSK

LASK — WSG Tirol

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Model prediction for 31 October

LASK75%
Draw16%
WSG Tirol8%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

LASK are clear favourites: 75% against 8% for the opponent, draw 16%.

The model expects plenty of goals: 3.3 in total, against a competition average of 2.8.

Over 2.5 goals — 64%, both teams to score — 54%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings LASK are about 1.2 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: LASK — WSG Tirol What is xG?2.4–0.8
LASK not to lose92%
WSG Tirol not to lose25%
No draw84%
Both teams to score: yes54%
Both teams to score: no46%
Total over 2.564%
Total under 2.536%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap LASK
  • LASK goals
  • WSG Tirol goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

LASK

  • 11.10Rapid Wien0:2
  • 20.09away · Hartberg3:3
  • 13.09away · Sturm Graz1:2
  • 08.09away · AEK Athens0:1
  • 01.09away · Wolfsberger AC3:1

WSG Tirol

  • 10.10Ried1:2
  • 18.09away · Rapid Wien0:3
  • 13.09Hartberg2:2
  • 02.09away · Austria Wien1:0
  • 28.08away · Austria Lustenau4:0

Head to head

  • 07.02.2026LASK — WSG Tirol1:0
  • 10.08.2025WSG Tirol — LASK3:1
  • 03.05.2025WSG Tirol — LASK1:3
  • 18.04.2025LASK — WSG Tirol2:0
  • 09.03.2025LASK — WSG Tirol2:1

Full record: 8 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
2, Championship roundSalzburg853018–4+1418
3, Championship roundLASK851219–9+1016
4, Championship roundSturm Graz842210–9+114
8, Relegation roundAustria Lustenau822411–15-48
9, Relegation roundWSG Tirol822410–14-48
10, Relegation roundAustria Wien82157–15-87

Season 2026/27

Full table

Austrian Bundesliga on the same day

  • AltachRiedpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.6

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 75% will not happen in roughly 25 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →