Swiss Super League, round 12 · Sunday, 1 November, MSK
Lausanne — Thun
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 1 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: Lausanne 38%, Thun 36%, draw 27%.
3.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.4).
Over 2.5 goals — 61%, both teams to score — 65%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Lausanne — Thun What is xG? | 1.6–1.6 | |
| Lausanne not to lose | 64% | |
| Thun not to lose | 62% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 65% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 35% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 61% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 39% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Lausanne
- Lausanne goals
- Thun goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · St. Gallen0:1
- 20.09Lugano0:4
- 13.09Servette0:1
- 05.09away · FC Vaduz1:3
- 02.09away · Thun0:0
- 10.10away · FC Zürich2:4
- 20.09away · FC Vaduz2:1
- 16.09Servette2:4
- 12.09Grasshopper0:1
- 06.09away · Sion2:3
Head to head
- 02.09.2026Thun — Lausanne0:0
- 12.02.2026Thun — Lausanne5:1
- 30.11.2025Lausanne — Thun2:1
- 03.08.2025Thun — Lausanne2:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8, Relegation round | Luzern | 10 | 3 | -5 | 12 |
| 9, Relegation round | Thun | 10 | 3 | -10 | 10 |
| 10, Relegation round | FC Vaduz | 10 | 3 | 0 | 9 |
| 11, Relegation round | Grasshopper | 10 | 2 | -13 | 8 |
| 12, Relegation round | Lausanne | 10 | 1 | -9 | 6 |
Swiss Super League on the same day
- Young BoysFC Zürichpreliminary6520151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:23.9
- LuganoBaselpreliminary5227221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 38% will not happen in roughly 62 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →