Segunda Division, round 10 · Friday, 16 October, MSK
Leganés — Córdoba
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 16 October
In short
Evenly matched: Leganés 39%, Córdoba 33%, draw 28%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.0 in total, against a competition average of 2.6.
Over 2.5 goals — 57%, both teams to score — 62%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Leganés — Córdoba What is xG? | 1.6–1.4 | |
| Leganés not to lose | 67% | |
| Córdoba not to lose | 61% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 62% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 38% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 57% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 43% |
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Form
- 11.10away · Almería0:3
- 03.10away · Cádiz0:4
- 28.09Castellón0:2
- 20.09Granada3:2
- 13.09away · Tenerife0:2
- 10.10away · Eldense1:2
- 05.10Tenerife3:2
- 27.09away · Real Valladolid1:3
- 18.09away · Albacete2:1
- 12.09Almería0:2
Head to head
- 14.02.2026Córdoba — Leganés2:1
- 07.12.2025Leganés — Córdoba0:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Las Palmas | 9 | 3 | -3 | 11 |
| 16 | Leganés | 9 | 3 | -8 | 11 |
| 17 | FC Andorra | 9 | 3 | -2 | 10 |
| 18 | Córdoba | 9 | 3 | -6 | 9 |
| 19, Relegation | Real Sociedad B | 9 | 2 | -5 | 8 |
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →