Liga MX (Mexico), round 12 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
León — CF América
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
CF América are clear favourites: 47% against 25% for the opponent, draw 29%.
2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.9).
Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 58%.
Why
- By the strength ratings CF América are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: León — CF América What is xG? | 1.1–1.6 | |
| León not to lose | 53% | |
| CF América not to lose | 75% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 58% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 42% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 52% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 48% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap León
- León goals
- CF América goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10away · Puebla1:1
- 28.09FC Juárez2:1
- 21.09away · Querétaro FC1:1
- 15.09Atlético de San Luis2:0
- 11.09away · Pumas1:3
- 11.10Monterrey1:1
- 28.09away · Necaxa4:2
- 20.09Chivas2:2
- 13.09away · Cruz Azul3:4
- 30.08Puebla2:0
Head to head
- 22.04.2026León — CF América2:3
- 02.11.2025CF América — León2:0
- 20.02.2025CF América — León1:1
- 06.10.2024León — CF América1:1
- 11.02.2024León — CF América0:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Liguilla (playoffs) | CF América | 10 | 6 | +11 | 21 |
| 2, Liguilla (playoffs) | Toluca | 11 | 6 | +10 | 20 |
| 4, Liguilla (playoffs) | Chivas | 11 | 5 | +7 | 19 |
| 5, Liguilla (playoffs) | León | 11 | 5 | +3 | 18 |
| 6, Liguilla (playoffs) | Atlas | 11 | 5 | -1 | 18 |
Liga MX on the same day
- 3827351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.2
- 5028221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.7
- 7019111The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.2
- 6919111The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →