La Liga, round 6 · Wednesday, 21 October, MSK
Levante — Athletic Club
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 21 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: Levante 35%, Athletic Club 34%, draw 30%.
2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).
Over 2.5 goals — 51%, both teams to score — 58%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Levante — Athletic Club What is xG? | 1.4–1.4 | |
| Levante not to lose | 66% | |
| Athletic Club not to lose | 65% | |
| No draw | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 58% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 42% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 51% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 49% |
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Form
- 12.10Sevilla3:3
- 20.09away · Villarreal1:3
- 13.09Barcelona2:4
- 06.09away · Málaga0:0
- 29.08Real Betis5:2
- 19.09Deportivo Alavés0:0
- 12.09Elche1:1
- 05.09Atlético Madrid3:0
- 30.08away · Celta Vigo2:0
- 27.08away · Barcelona0:2
Head to head
- 08.02.2026Athletic Club — Levante4:2
- 29.11.2025Levante — Athletic Club0:2
- 07.03.2022Athletic Club — Levante3:1
- 19.11.2021Levante — Athletic Club0:0
- 04.03.2021Levante — Athletic Club1:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Celta Vigo | 8 | 1 | +2 | 8 |
| 10 | Athletic Club | 6 | 2 | +1 | 8 |
| 11 | Villarreal | 8 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 16 | Osasuna | 8 | 2 | -10 | 8 |
| 17 | Levante | 7 | 1 | -4 | 6 |
| 18, Relegation | Elche | 8 | 1 | -6 | 6 |
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 35% will not happen in roughly 65 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →