International Friendlies · Monday, 5 October, MSK · Rheinpark Stadion
Liechtenstein — Gibraltar
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0:2Missed
In short
Final score 0:2: the model's most likely outcome, a draw (34%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 34% fails in about 66 matches out of 100 on average.
Gibraltar are slightly stronger: 38% against 28%, draw 34%.
The model expects few goals: 1.6 in total, against a competition average of 2.6.
Over 2.5 goals — 23%, both teams to score — 30%.
Why
- National-team Elo: Liechtenstein 901, Gibraltar 1022 — Gibraltar clearly rated higher.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Liechtenstein — Gibraltar What is xG? | 0.7–0.9 | |
| Liechtenstein not to lose | 62% | |
| Gibraltar not to lose | 72% | |
| No draw | 66% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 30% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 70% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 23% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 77% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Liechtenstein
- Liechtenstein goals
- Gibraltar goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 01.10away · Azerbaijan0:0
- 27.09away · Malta0:2
- 24.09Lithuania0:2
- 07.06Cyprus0:2
- 04.06away · Andorra0:2
- 01.10away · Malta1:1
- 27.09Andorra0:0
- 23.09Sao Tome and Principe0:0
- 06.06Cayman Islands4:1
- 03.06British Virgin Islands4:0
Head to head
- 13.10.2024Liechtenstein — Gibraltar0:0
- 08.09.2024Gibraltar — Liechtenstein2:2
- 16.11.2022Gibraltar — Liechtenstein2:0
- 17.11.2020Gibraltar — Liechtenstein1:1
- 10.10.2020Liechtenstein — Gibraltar0:1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 38% will not happen in roughly 62 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →