Ligue 1, round 7 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
Lorient — Monaco
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
Monaco are slightly stronger: 46% against 28%, draw 26%.
2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).
Over 2.5 goals — 51%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Monaco are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Lorient — Monaco What is xG? | 1.2–1.5 | |
| Lorient not to lose | 54% | |
| Monaco not to lose | 72% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 51% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 49% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Lorient
- Lorient goals
- Monaco goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10Toulouse2:2
- 18.09Lens2:1
- 12.09away · Strasbourg1:1
- 04.09away · Paris Saint-Germain2:1
- 30.08Marseille2:0
Head to head
- 16.01.2026Monaco — Lorient1:3
- 27.09.2025Lorient — Monaco3:1
- 17.03.2024Monaco — Lorient2:2
- 17.09.2023Lorient — Monaco2:2
- 16.04.2023Monaco — Lorient3:1
Table
Ligue 1 on the same day
- 2025552The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.9
- 4027321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.5
- 3827351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.9
- 5924181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →