Colombian Primera A (Liga BetPlay) · Wednesday, 14 October, MSK · Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campín
Millonarios — Once Caldas
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 14 October
In short
Millonarios are clear favourites: 58% against 17% for the opponent, draw 25%.
2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 45%, both teams to score — 47%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Millonarios are about 0.6 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Millonarios — Once Caldas What is xG? | 1.6–0.8 | |
| Millonarios not to lose | 83% | |
| Once Caldas not to lose | 42% | |
| No draw | 75% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 47% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 53% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 45% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 55% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Millonarios
- Millonarios goals
- Once Caldas goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 09.10away · Fortaleza FC1:1
- 30.09away · Independiente Medellín2:2
- 25.09away · Atlético Nacional1:1
- 19.09Chicó FC3:0
- 14.09away · Cúcuta2:1
- 10.10Llaneros FC1:0
- 05.10away · Internacional de Bogotá1:1
- 26.09Bucaramanga1:3
- 20.09away · Deportivo Pasto0:1
- 17.09Tolima1:0
Head to head
- 22.03.2026Once Caldas — Millonarios1:4
- 30.10.2025Millonarios — Once Caldas0:0
- 12.06.2025Millonarios — Once Caldas2:2
- 09.06.2025Once Caldas — Millonarios0:0
- 12.05.2025Once Caldas — Millonarios2:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6, Semi-final groups | Santa Fe | 12 | 6 | +7 | 22 |
| 7, Semi-final groups | Millonarios | 14 | 5 | +7 | 22 |
| 8, Semi-final groups | Tolima | 14 | 5 | +1 | 20 |
| 9 | Cúcuta | 13 | 5 | -3 | 18 |
| 10 | Once Caldas | 13 | 4 | 0 | 16 |
| 11 | Águilas Doradas | 12 | 3 | -1 | 15 |
Colombian Primera A on the same day
- 4629241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 58% will not happen in roughly 42 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →