Swedish Allsvenskan, round 27 · Monday, 2 November, MSK

Mjällby — Kalmar FF

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Model prediction for 2 November

Mjällby40%
Draw30%
Kalmar FF30%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Mjällby are slightly stronger: 40% against 30%, draw 30%.

The model expects few goals: 2.6 in total, against a competition average of 3.0.

Over 2.5 goals — 48%, both teams to score — 55%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Mjällby — Kalmar FF What is xG?1.4–1.2
Mjällby not to lose70%
Kalmar FF not to lose60%
No draw70%
Both teams to score: yes55%
Both teams to score: no45%
Total over 2.548%
Total under 2.552%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Mjällby
  • Mjällby goals
  • Kalmar FF goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Mjällby

  • 10.10Degerfors1:1
  • 20.09GAIS0:3
  • 16.09away · AIK1:1
  • 11.09away · Häcken1:1
  • 07.09IFK Göteborg1:4

Kalmar FF

  • 12.10away · Malmö FF0:1
  • 20.09Häcken0:5
  • 13.09away · Elfsborg0:1
  • 07.09Djurgården0:1
  • 29.08away · Halmstads BK0:1

Head to head

  • 25.07.2026Kalmar FF — Mjällby2:1
  • 20.10.2024Kalmar FF — Mjällby0:3
  • 29.04.2024Mjällby — Kalmar FF3:2
  • 03.09.2023Kalmar FF — Mjällby0:2
  • 03.07.2023Mjällby — Kalmar FF1:1

Full record: 9 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
11Brommapojkarna2386936–41-530
12Mjällby23581028–39-1123
13Degerfors23551320–35-1520
14, Relegation play-offKalmar FF23541421–37-1619
15, RelegationÖrgryte23361425–52-2715

Season 2026

Full table

Allsvenskan on the same day

  • GAISAIKpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.0

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →