Belarusian Premier League · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
ML Vitebsk — Neman
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
ML Vitebsk are clear favourites: 54% against 21% for the opponent, draw 25%.
2.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 41%, both teams to score — 44%.
Why
- By the strength ratings ML Vitebsk are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: ML Vitebsk — Neman What is xG? | 1.5–0.8 | |
| ML Vitebsk not to lose | 79% | |
| Neman not to lose | 46% | |
| No draw | 75% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 44% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 56% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 41% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 59% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap ML Vitebsk
- ML Vitebsk goals
- Neman goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · FC Gomel5:1
- 18.09Arsenal Dzerzhinsk5:1
- 13.09away · Dnepr Mogilev1:1
- 06.09Din. Minsk0:0
- 02.09Belshina1:1
- 10.10Baranovici3:0
- 19.09away · Isloch2:1
- 12.09Zhodino1:0
- 06.09away · Belshina2:2
- 29.08Slavia Mozyr1:0
Head to head
- 30.05.2026Neman — ML Vitebsk1:2
- 20.09.2025Neman — ML Vitebsk3:1
- 03.05.2025ML Vitebsk — Neman1:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Champions League qualifying | ML Vitebsk | 22 | 13 | +29 | 47 |
| 2, Europa League or Conference League | Din. Minsk | 22 | 14 | +22 | 46 |
| 4 | Dynamo Brest | 24 | 13 | +16 | 43 |
| 5 | Neman | 23 | 12 | +9 | 40 |
| 6 | FC Gomel | 24 | 11 | +11 | 39 |
Belarusian Premier League on the same day
- 2928432The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 54% will not happen in roughly 46 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →