Liga MX (Mexico), round 12 · Monday, 19 October, MSK
Monterrey — Pachuca
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In short
Monterrey are clear favourites: 46% against 26% for the opponent, draw 27%.
2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.9).
Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 58%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Monterrey are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Monterrey — Pachuca What is xG? | 1.6–1.2 | |
| Monterrey not to lose | 74% | |
| Pachuca not to lose | 54% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 58% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 42% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 53% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 47% |
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- Handicap Monterrey
- Monterrey goals
- Pachuca goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 11.10away · CF América1:1
- 26.09away · Atlante2:4
- 20.09Cruz Azul1:0
- 13.09Tigres0:0
- 31.08Atlético de San Luis1:3
- 12.10Necaxa3:3
- 27.09away · Santos Laguna0:1
- 21.09Tijuana2:2
- 12.09away · Atlante3:0
- 05.09away · FC Juárez2:0
Head to head
- 19.04.2026Monterrey — Pachuca1:3
- 14.07.2025Pachuca — Monterrey3:0
- 26.01.2025Monterrey — Pachuca2:3
- 08.07.2024Pachuca — Monterrey0:1
- 11.02.2024Monterrey — Pachuca3:2
Table
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →