Scottish Premiership, round 12 · Saturday, 31 October, MSK
Motherwell — St. Mirren
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 31 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Motherwell are clear favourites: 52% against 22% for the opponent, draw 27%.
2.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).
Over 2.5 goals — 48%, both teams to score — 52%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Motherwell are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Motherwell — St. Mirren What is xG? | 1.6–1.0 | |
| Motherwell not to lose | 78% | |
| St. Mirren not to lose | 48% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 52% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 48% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 48% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 52% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Motherwell
- Motherwell goals
- St. Mirren goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10Celtic0:2
- 19.09away · Dundee FC1:2
- 15.09Aberdeen0:4
- 05.09away · Rangers0:1
- 02.09Dundee United3:0
- 10.10away · Heart of Midlothian0:5
- 19.09Dundee United0:3
- 09.09away · Rangers0:1
- 05.09Celtic1:2
- 02.09away · Kilmarnock1:0
Head to head
- 30.08.2026St. Mirren — Motherwell3:3
- 21.02.2026St. Mirren — Motherwell0:5
- 03.01.2026Motherwell — St. Mirren2:0
- 09.08.2025St. Mirren — Motherwell0:0
- 15.03.2025Motherwell — St. Mirren2:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6, Championship round | Dundee United | 8 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 7, Relegation round | St. Mirren | 8 | 3 | -6 | 10 |
| 8, Relegation round | Aberdeen | 8 | 2 | -2 | 8 |
| 9, Relegation round | Motherwell | 8 | 2 | -4 | 8 |
| 10, Relegation round | Hibernian | 8 | 2 | -4 | 7 |
Scottish Premiership on the same day
- KilmarnockSt. Johnstonepreliminary4327301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 52% will not happen in roughly 48 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →