Ecuadorian LigaPro Serie A, playoff · Monday, 19 October, MSK

Mushuc Runa — Orense

☆ Save match

Model prediction for 19 October

Mushuc Runa48%
Draw27%
Orense25%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Mushuc Runa are clear favourites: 48% against 25% for the opponent, draw 27%.

2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.4).

Over 2.5 goals — 51%, both teams to score — 55%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Mushuc Runa are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Mushuc Runa — Orense What is xG?1.6–1.1
Mushuc Runa not to lose75%
Orense not to lose52%
No draw73%
Both teams to score: yes55%
Both teams to score: no45%
Total over 2.551%
Total under 2.549%

183 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Mushuc Runa
  • Mushuc Runa goals
  • Orense goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month

Form

Mushuc Runa

  • 09.10away · Delfín2:3
  • 21.09away · Deportivo Cuenca1:1
  • 13.09away · Guayaquil City1:3
  • 08.09Leones del Norte1:1
  • 02.09away · LDU de Quito0:0

Orense

  • 11.10Deportivo Cuenca0:0
  • 21.09away · Manta1:2
  • 15.09away · Universidad Católica (ECU)1:2
  • 08.09Guayaquil City4:3
  • 04.09away · Leones del Norte0:1

Head to head

  • 20.07.2026Mushuc Runa — Orense2:1
  • 20.03.2026Orense — Mushuc Runa3:2
  • 14.09.2025Orense — Mushuc Runa3:1
  • 18.05.2025Mushuc Runa — Orense2:5
  • 22.09.2024Mushuc Runa — Orense3:0

Full record: 8 meetings →

LigaPro Serie A on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 48% will not happen in roughly 52 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →