French Ligue 2, round 10 · Friday, 23 October, MSK

Nancy — Laval

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Model prediction for 23 October

Nancy47%
Draw28%
Laval24%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Nancy are clear favourites: 47% against 24% for the opponent, draw 28%.

2.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).

Over 2.5 goals — 47%, both teams to score — 53%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Nancy are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Nancy — Laval What is xG?1.5–1.0
Nancy not to lose76%
Laval not to lose53%
No draw72%
Both teams to score: yes53%
Both teams to score: no47%
Total over 2.547%
Total under 2.553%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Nancy
  • Nancy goals
  • Laval goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Nancy

  • 09.10Guingamp1:0
  • 18.09away · Rodez4:3
  • 11.09Reims1:2
  • 07.09away · Nantes0:1
  • 28.08Dunkerque2:0

Laval

  • 09.10away · Pau2:3
  • 18.09Sochaux1:1
  • 11.09away · Dijon2:3
  • 04.09Red Star1:2
  • 28.08Grenoble0:3

Head to head

  • 27.02.2026Laval — Nancy1:1
  • 07.11.2025Nancy — Laval0:2

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
4, Promotion play-offsReims835015–9+614
5, Promotion play-offsNancy84139–7+213
6Annecy FC841310–9+113
17, RelegationClermont Foot80626–9-36
18, RelegationLaval812510–17-75

Season 2026/27

Full table

Ligue 2 on the same day

  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.6
  • DunkerqueMetzpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.9
  • PauGrenoblepreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.6
  • SochauxAnnecy FCpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.4

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →