Saudi Pro League, round 11 · Saturday, 24 October, MSK
Neom SC — Abha
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 24 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Neom SC are clear favourites: 66% against 11% for the opponent, draw 22%.
The model expects few goals: 2.5 in total, against a competition average of 3.0.
Over 2.5 goals — 47%, both teams to score — 45%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Neom SC are about 0.8 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Neom SC — Abha What is xG? | 1.8–0.7 | |
| Neom SC not to lose | 89% | |
| Abha not to lose | 34% | |
| No draw | 78% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 45% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 55% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 47% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 53% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Neom SC
- Neom SC goals
- Abha goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 10.10away · Al Hazem1:1
- 13.09Al Fateh FC4:2
- 07.09away · Al Hilal2:0
- 03.09Al Khaleej3:0
- 28.08away · Al Riyadh0:1
- 13.09away · Al Diriyah0:0
- 09.09away · Al Nassr FC1:2
- 04.09Al-Ettifaq0:1
- 28.08away · Al-Fayha2:3
- 25.08Al Khaleej1:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Al Ittihad | 8 | 5 | +5 | 17 |
| 5 | Neom SC | 8 | 5 | +7 | 16 |
| 6 | Al Ahli | 8 | 5 | +10 | 15 |
| 17, Relegation | Al-Taawoun | 8 | 0 | -12 | 3 |
| 18, Relegation | Abha | 7 | 0 | -8 | 2 |
Saudi Pro League on the same day
- Al KholoodAl-Ettifaqpreliminary3929321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.1
- Al RiyadhAl-Taawounpreliminary313138XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 66% will not happen in roughly 34 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →