Ukrainian Premier League, round 9 · Friday, 16 October, MSK
Obolon Kyiv — Veres Rivne
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 16 October
In short
Veres Rivne are slightly stronger: 39% against 29%, draw 32%.
The model expects few goals: 2.0 in total, against a competition average of 2.5.
Over 2.5 goals — 32%, both teams to score — 41%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Veres Rivne are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Obolon Kyiv — Veres Rivne What is xG? | 0.9–1.1 | |
| Obolon Kyiv not to lose | 61% | |
| Veres Rivne not to lose | 71% | |
| No draw | 68% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 41% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 59% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 32% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 68% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Obolon Kyiv
- Obolon Kyiv goals
- Veres Rivne goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 18.09away · Chornomorets Odesa1:1
- 12.09away · LNZ Cherkasy1:3
- 05.09away · FC Kharkiv0:5
- 28.08away · FC Kolos Kovalivka0:0
- 15.08away · Kudrivka0:0
- 09.10Shakhtar Donetsk0:3
- 03.10Kudrivka2:1
- 20.09away · Karpaty1:1
- 06.09Zorya1:1
- 30.08away · LNZ Cherkasy1:0
Head to head
- 11.04.2026Veres Rivne — Obolon Kyiv2:0
- 04.10.2025Obolon Kyiv — Veres Rivne1:1
- 03.05.2025Veres Rivne — Obolon Kyiv0:2
- 04.11.2024Obolon Kyiv — Veres Rivne0:0
- 06.04.2024Veres Rivne — Obolon Kyiv3:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | LNZ Cherkasy | 8 | 3 | -2 | 11 |
| 8 | Veres Rivne | 8 | 2 | -3 | 9 |
| 9 | FC Kolos Kovalivka | 7 | 2 | -2 | 8 |
| 14, Relegation play-off | Chornomorets Odesa | 7 | 1 | -5 | 5 |
| 15, Relegation | Obolon Kyiv | 7 | 0 | -10 | 4 |
| 16, Relegation | Kudrivka | 8 | 0 | -14 | 2 |
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →