Colombian Primera A (Liga BetPlay) · Thursday, 29 October, MSK
Once Caldas — Alianza FC
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 29 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Once Caldas are clear favourites: 54% against 19% for the opponent, draw 27%.
2.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 44%, both teams to score — 48%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Once Caldas are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Once Caldas — Alianza FC What is xG? | 1.6–0.9 | |
| Once Caldas not to lose | 81% | |
| Alianza FC not to lose | 46% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 48% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 52% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 44% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 56% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Once Caldas
- Once Caldas goals
- Alianza FC goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10Llaneros FC1:0
- 05.10away · Internacional de Bogotá1:1
- 26.09Bucaramanga1:3
- 20.09away · Deportivo Pasto0:1
- 17.09Tolima1:0
- 10.10Águilas Doradas2:2
- 03.10away · Deportivo Cali1:3
- 28.09away · CD Jaguares2:1
- 20.09Santa Fe1:4
- 16.09away · Chicó FC2:1
Head to head
- 09.02.2026Alianza FC — Once Caldas1:1
- 16.08.2025Alianza FC — Once Caldas0:0
- 02.03.2025Once Caldas — Alianza FC1:2
- 06.10.2024Alianza FC — Once Caldas1:0
- 26.03.2024Once Caldas — Alianza FC1:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Cúcuta | 13 | 5 | -3 | 18 |
| 10 | Once Caldas | 13 | 4 | 0 | 16 |
| 11 | Águilas Doradas | 13 | 3 | -1 | 16 |
| 14 | Chicó FC | 12 | 3 | -9 | 12 |
| 15 | Alianza FC | 13 | 3 | -12 | 12 |
| 16 | Fortaleza FC | 13 | 1 | -5 | 11 |
Colombian Primera A on the same day
- 3129412The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 54% will not happen in roughly 46 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →