Swedish Allsvenskan, round 26 · Thursday, 29 October, MSK
Örgryte — Mjällby
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 29 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Mjällby are slightly stronger: 44% against 29%, draw 27%.
3.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.0).
Over 2.5 goals — 59%, both teams to score — 63%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Mjällby are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Örgryte — Mjällby What is xG? | 1.4–1.7 | |
| Örgryte not to lose | 56% | |
| Mjällby not to lose | 71% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 63% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 37% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 59% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 41% |
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Form
- 11.10away · Häcken0:3
- 19.09Sirius1:2
- 13.09away · Malmö FF1:4
- 06.09Hammarby1:1
- 30.08away · IFK Göteborg0:1
Head to head
- 11.04.2026Mjällby — Örgryte0:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Brommapojkarna | 23 | 8 | -5 | 30 |
| 12 | Mjällby | 23 | 5 | -11 | 23 |
| 13 | Degerfors | 23 | 5 | -15 | 20 |
| 14, Relegation play-off | Kalmar FF | 23 | 5 | -16 | 19 |
| 15, Relegation | Örgryte | 23 | 3 | -27 | 15 |
| 16, Relegation | Halmstads BK | 23 | 3 | -28 | 14 |
Allsvenskan on the same day
- HammarbySiriuspreliminary6022191The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.1
- Kalmar FFGAISpreliminary3029412The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →