Copa do Brasil (Brazilian Cup), playoff · Sunday, 1 November, MSK
Palmeiras — Vasco da Gama
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 1 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Palmeiras are clear favourites: 52% against 23% for the opponent, draw 25%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 2.1.
Over 2.5 goals — 54%, both teams to score — 55%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Palmeiras are about 0.8 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Palmeiras — Vasco da Gama What is xG? | 1.8–1.1 | |
| Palmeiras not to lose | 77% | |
| Vasco da Gama not to lose | 48% | |
| No draw | 75% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 55% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 45% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 54% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 46% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Palmeiras
- Palmeiras goals
- Vasco da Gama goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10Corinthians4:1
- 09.10Bahia1:0
- 20.09away · Grêmio0:0
- 17.09away · LDU de Quito2:3
- 13.09São Paulo2:0
- 14.10away · Boca Juniors1:0
- 11.10Remo0:0
- 08.10away · Botafogo2:1
- 20.09Coritiba5:0
- 16.09Santa Fe2:0
Head to head
- 23.08.2026Palmeiras — Vasco da Gama4:1
- 13.03.2026Vasco da Gama — Palmeiras2:1
- 02.10.2025Palmeiras — Vasco da Gama3:0
- 04.05.2025Vasco da Gama — Palmeiras0:1
- 22.09.2024Vasco da Gama — Palmeiras0:1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 52% will not happen in roughly 48 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →