Tanzania Premier League, round 10 · Tuesday, 27 October, MSK

Pamba Jiji — Singida Black Stars

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Model prediction for 27 October

Pamba Jiji31%
Draw28%
Singida Black Stars40%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Singida Black Stars are slightly stronger: 40% against 31%, draw 28%.

The model expects plenty of goals: 2.9 in total, against a competition average of 2.2.

Over 2.5 goals — 55%, both teams to score — 61%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Singida Black Stars are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Pamba Jiji — Singida Black Stars What is xG?1.4–1.5
Pamba Jiji not to lose60%
Singida Black Stars not to lose69%
No draw72%
Both teams to score: yes61%
Both teams to score: no39%
Total over 2.555%
Total under 2.545%

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Form

Pamba Jiji

  • 08.10Geita Gold FC4:0
  • 13.09TRA United1:3
  • 05.09away · JKT Tanzania0:3
  • 28.08away · Young Africans0:2
  • 23.08away · Azam FC1:2

Singida Black Stars

  • 12.10away · Coastal Union0:1
  • 09.10away · Dodoma Jiji FC1:1
  • 09.09away · Mashujaa1:2
  • 01.09Namungo FC3:2
  • 29.08Polisi Tanzania FC4:2

Head to head

  • 05.05.2026Singida Black Stars — Pamba Jiji3:1
  • 08.11.2025Pamba Jiji — Singida Black Stars1:1
  • 23.02.2025Singida Black Stars — Pamba Jiji2:2
  • 17.09.2024Pamba Jiji — Singida Black Stars0:1

Full record: 4 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
4Mashujaa84049–13-412
5Singida Black Stars832314–11+311
6Dodoma Jiji FC73225–5011
14Kagera Sugar71248–15-75
15Pamba Jiji71158–13-54
16Fountain Gate FC71153–11-84

Season 2026/27

Full table

Tanzania Premier League on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →