Ligue 1, round 7 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
Paris FC — Rennes
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
Evenly matched: Paris FC 38%, Rennes 35%, draw 27%.
2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).
Over 2.5 goals — 55%, both teams to score — 60%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Paris FC — Rennes What is xG? | 1.5–1.4 | |
| Paris FC not to lose | 65% | |
| Rennes not to lose | 62% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 60% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 40% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 55% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 45% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Paris FC
- Paris FC goals
- Rennes goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10Auxerre4:1
- 19.09away · Lyon0:4
- 16.09away · Sturm Graz0:0
- 11.09Marseille1:0
- 06.09away · Angers2:1
Head to head
- 10.05.2026Rennes — Paris FC2:1
- 07.11.2025Paris FC — Rennes0:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Champions League | Lille | 6 | 4 | +5 | 13 |
| 3, Champions League | Rennes | 6 | 4 | +2 | 13 |
| 4, Champions League qualifying | Lyon | 6 | 3 | +7 | 11 |
| 5, Europa League or Conference League | Paris FC | 6 | 3 | +4 | 11 |
| 6, Europa League or Conference League | Paris Saint-Germain | 6 | 3 | +3 | 11 |
Ligue 1 on the same day
- 2025552The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.9
- 4027321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.5
- 2826462The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.7
- 5924181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 38% will not happen in roughly 62 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →