Tanzania Premier League, round 11 · Sunday, 1 November, MSK

Polisi Tanzania FC — Geita Gold FC

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Model prediction for 1 November

Polisi Tanzania FC50%
Draw26%
Geita Gold FC23%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Polisi Tanzania FC are clear favourites: 50% against 23% for the opponent, draw 26%.

The model expects plenty of goals: 3.1 in total, against a competition average of 2.2.

Over 2.5 goals — 59%, both teams to score — 62%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Polisi Tanzania FC are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Polisi Tanzania FC — Geita Gold FC What is xG?1.8–1.2
Polisi Tanzania FC not to lose77%
Geita Gold FC not to lose50%
No draw74%
Both teams to score: yes62%
Both teams to score: no38%
Total over 2.559%
Total under 2.541%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap Polisi Tanzania FC
  • Polisi Tanzania FC goals
  • Geita Gold FC goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Polisi Tanzania FC

  • 08.10away · Mashujaa1:2
  • 12.09Mbeya City2:0
  • 06.09Coastal Union1:2
  • 29.08away · Singida Black Stars2:4
  • 25.08away · Dodoma Jiji FC1:0

Geita Gold FC

  • 08.10away · Pamba Jiji0:4
  • 15.09away · Young Africans0:1
  • 31.08away · Simba SC0:2
  • 28.08Azam FC2:2
  • 22.08Kagera Sugar6:2

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
6Dodoma Jiji FC73225–5011
7Polisi Tanzania FC731310–9+110
8Mbeya City73137–7010
11Namungo FC83057–11-49
12Geita Gold FC72149–12-37
13TRA United71336–7-16

Season 2026/27

Full table

Tanzania Premier League on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →