Uruguayan Primera Division, round 11 · Saturday, 17 October, MSK
Racing — Montevideo Wanderers
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 17 October
In short
Racing are clear favourites: 49% against 23% for the opponent, draw 28%.
2.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.3).
Over 2.5 goals — 36%, both teams to score — 42%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Racing are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Racing — Montevideo Wanderers What is xG? | 1.3–0.8 | |
| Racing not to lose | 77% | |
| Montevideo Wanderers not to lose | 51% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 42% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 58% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 36% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 64% |
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Form
- 11.10away · Juventud de las Piedras0:2
- 05.10Club Atletico Peñarol0:1
- 26.09away · Club Atlético Progreso1:2
- 21.09away · Liverpool FC0:0
- 12.09Boston River3:2
- 10.10Boston River1:3
- 04.10away · Cerro2:0
- 29.09Albion2:1
- 20.09away · Danubio1:1
- 12.09Nacional (URU)1:1
Head to head
- 13.04.2026Montevideo Wanderers — Racing1:2
- 03.08.2025Racing — Montevideo Wanderers1:0
- 03.02.2025Montevideo Wanderers — Racing0:0
- 07.09.2024Racing — Montevideo Wanderers0:1
- 20.07.2024Racing — Montevideo Wanderers0:1
Uruguayan Primera on the same day
- 373231XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.0
- 2830432The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.2
- 4529261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 49% will not happen in roughly 51 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →