Brazilian Serie A, round 31 · Monday, 19 October, MSK

Remo — RB Bragantino

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Model prediction for 19 October

Remo33%
Draw30%
RB Bragantino38%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Evenly matched: Remo 33%, RB Bragantino 38%, draw 30%.

2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).

Over 2.5 goals — 47%, both teams to score — 54%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings RB Bragantino are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Remo — RB Bragantino What is xG?1.2–1.3
Remo not to lose62%
RB Bragantino not to lose67%
No draw70%
Both teams to score: yes54%
Both teams to score: no46%
Total over 2.547%
Total under 2.553%

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  • Handicap Remo
  • Remo goals
  • RB Bragantino goals
  • Corners and cards
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Form

Remo

  • 11.10away · Vasco da Gama0:0
  • 08.10Grêmio1:1
  • 20.09Santos1:2
  • 15.09away · Bahia1:2
  • 06.09Flamengo0:1

RB Bragantino

  • 13.10Cruzeiro4:2
  • 08.10Mirassol1:1
  • 04.10away · Atlético-MG0:1
  • 21.09away · Flamengo1:2
  • 13.09away · Botafogo1:1

Head to head

  • 20.04.2026RB Bragantino — Remo4:2

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
8, Copa SudamericanaSantos301191046–45+142
9, Copa SudamericanaRB Bragantino301171238–35+340
10, Copa SudamericanaSão Paulo301161335–35039
18, RelegationGrêmio307101332–40-831
19, RelegationRemo305101533–48-1525
20, RelegationChapecoense29391730–61-3118

Season 2026

Full table

Brasileirao on the same day

  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.8

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 38% will not happen in roughly 62 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →