Serie A, round 7 · Saturday, 17 October, MSK
Roma — Genoa
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 17 October
In short
Roma are clear favourites: 65% against 11% for the opponent, draw 24%.
2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 46%, both teams to score — 46%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Roma are about 1.0 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Roma — Genoa What is xG? | 1.8–0.7 | |
| Roma not to lose | 89% | |
| Genoa not to lose | 35% | |
| No draw | 76% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 46% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 54% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 46% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 54% |
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- Handicap Roma
- Roma goals
- Genoa goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
Head to head
- 08.03.2026Genoa — Roma2:1
- 29.12.2025Roma — Genoa3:1
- 17.01.2025Roma — Genoa3:1
- 15.09.2024Genoa — Roma1:1
- 19.05.2024Roma — Genoa1:0
Table
Serie A on the same day
- 1221672The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.8
- 1625592The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 65% will not happen in roughly 35 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →