Liga MX (Mexico), round 15 · Monday, 2 November, MSK
Santos Laguna — Necaxa
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 2 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Santos Laguna are slightly stronger: 40% against 33%, draw 28%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.4 in total, against a competition average of 2.9.
Over 2.5 goals — 66%, both teams to score — 70%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Santos Laguna — Necaxa What is xG? | 1.8–1.6 | |
| Santos Laguna not to lose | 67% | |
| Necaxa not to lose | 60% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 30% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 66% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 34% |
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- Handicap Santos Laguna
- Santos Laguna goals
- Necaxa goals
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Form
- 12.10away · Atlético de San Luis2:1
- 27.09Pachuca1:0
- 21.09away · Toluca3:2
- 14.09FC Juárez2:1
- 07.09away · Cruz Azul0:1
- 12.10away · Pachuca3:3
- 28.09CF América2:4
- 20.09away · Atlético de San Luis1:3
- 12.09Puebla0:1
- 06.09away · Tigres1:1
Head to head
- 11.01.2026Santos Laguna — Necaxa1:3
- 01.11.2025Necaxa — Santos Laguna4:1
- 08.02.2025Necaxa — Santos Laguna3:2
- 02.09.2024Santos Laguna — Necaxa3:2
- 13.04.2024Necaxa — Santos Laguna2:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Tigres | 11 | 3 | -2 | 13 |
| 14 | Santos Laguna | 11 | 4 | -4 | 13 |
| 15 | Atlético de San Luis | 11 | 3 | -5 | 12 |
| 16 | Atlante | 11 | 2 | -5 | 11 |
| 17 | Necaxa | 11 | 2 | -8 | 9 |
| 18 | FC Juárez | 11 | 1 | -18 | 4 |
Liga MX on the same day
- Cruz AzulLeónpreliminary6422141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →