South African Premiership · Saturday, 17 October, MSK

Sekhukhune United — Marumo Gallants

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Model prediction for 17 October

Sekhukhune United58%
Draw27%
Marumo Gallants15%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Sekhukhune United are clear favourites: 58% against 15% for the opponent, draw 27%.

2.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).

Over 2.5 goals — 39%, both teams to score — 42%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Sekhukhune United are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Sekhukhune United — Marumo Gallants What is xG?1.5–0.7
Sekhukhune United not to lose85%
Marumo Gallants not to lose42%
No draw73%
Both teams to score: yes42%
Both teams to score: no58%
Total over 2.539%
Total under 2.561%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap Sekhukhune United
  • Sekhukhune United goals
  • Marumo Gallants goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Sekhukhune United

  • 19.09away · Richards Bay3:2
  • 11.09away · Stellenbosch FC1:1
  • 05.09TS Galaxy0:0
  • 25.08away · Orlando Pirates0:2
  • 15.08Polokwane City2:0

Marumo Gallants

  • 20.09Orlando Pirates0:2
  • 12.09away · AmaZulu FC0:1
  • 04.09Polokwane City2:2
  • 25.08TS Galaxy2:3
  • 19.08away · Mamelodi Sundowns FC0:2

Head to head

  • 25.04.2026Sekhukhune United — Marumo Gallants1:1
  • 22.11.2025Marumo Gallants — Sekhukhune United1:1
  • 12.03.2025Marumo Gallants — Sekhukhune United1:2
  • 28.12.2024Sekhukhune United — Marumo Gallants1:0

Full record: 4 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
5Milford FC83329–7+212
6Sekhukhune United73227–7011
7Stellenbosch FC82429–8+110
15, Relegation play-offRichards Bay803510–20-103
16, RelegationMarumo Gallants70255–13-82

Season 2026/27

Full table

SA Premiership on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 58% will not happen in roughly 42 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →