EFL Championship, round 13 · Friday, 30 October, MSK

Sheffield United — Wrexham

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Model prediction for 30 October

Sheffield United48%
Draw27%
Wrexham25%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Sheffield United are clear favourites: 48% against 25% for the opponent, draw 27%.

2.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).

Over 2.5 goals — 48%, both teams to score — 54%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Sheffield United are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Sheffield United — Wrexham What is xG?1.5–1.1
Sheffield United not to lose75%
Wrexham not to lose52%
No draw73%
Both teams to score: yes54%
Both teams to score: no46%
Total over 2.548%
Total under 2.552%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Sheffield United
  • Sheffield United goals
  • Wrexham goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Sheffield United

  • 10.10Lincoln City3:0
  • 19.09away · Stoke City1:2
  • 16.09away · Fleetwood Town0:1
  • 13.09Wolverhampton Wanderers0:1
  • 08.09away · Blackburn Rovers2:1

Wrexham

  • 13.10West Bromwich Albion1:2
  • 10.10away · Derby County1:1
  • 19.09Southampton2:1
  • 11.09away · West Ham United0:6
  • 08.09Burnley1:1

Head to head

  • 21.03.2026Sheffield United — Wrexham1:2
  • 26.12.2025Wrexham — Sheffield United5:3
  • 13.08.2024Sheffield United — Wrexham4:2
  • 07.02.2023Sheffield United — Wrexham3:1
  • 29.01.2023Wrexham — Sheffield United3:3

Full record: 5 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
14Bolton Wanderers1041515–18-313
15Sheffield United933312–11+112
16Wrexham1025311–15-411
17Lincoln City93247–11-411

Season 2026/27

Full table

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 48% will not happen in roughly 52 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →