Danish Superliga, round 12 · Sunday, 25 October, MSK

Silkeborg — Nordsjælland

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Model prediction for 25 October

Silkeborg24%
Draw27%
Nordsjælland49%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Nordsjælland are clear favourites: 49% against 24% for the opponent, draw 27%.

3.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.0).

Over 2.5 goals — 64%, both teams to score — 67%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Nordsjælland are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Silkeborg — Nordsjælland What is xG?1.4–1.9
Silkeborg not to lose51%
Nordsjælland not to lose76%
No draw73%
Both teams to score: yes67%
Both teams to score: no33%
Total over 2.564%
Total under 2.536%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Silkeborg
  • Silkeborg goals
  • Nordsjælland goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Silkeborg

  • 11.10AC Horsens3:3
  • 18.09away · Lyngby4:0
  • 13.09Viborg1:1
  • 05.09away · AGF2:2
  • 30.08FC Midtjylland1:1

Nordsjælland

  • 09.10OB0:0
  • 20.09away · Viborg1:4
  • 13.09AGF2:0
  • 07.09away · FC Midtjylland2:2
  • 03.09away · FC København0:2

Head to head

  • 16.08.2026Nordsjælland — Silkeborg1:0
  • 07.12.2025Nordsjælland — Silkeborg5:0
  • 10.08.2025Silkeborg — Nordsjælland4:2
  • 20.10.2024Nordsjælland — Silkeborg1:1
  • 18.08.2024Silkeborg — Nordsjælland4:1

Full record: 13 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
3, Championship roundViborg1062217–8+920
4, Championship roundNordsjælland1053214–10+418
5, Championship roundBrøndby IF1051417–17016
6, Championship roundAC Horsens1033418–19-112
7, Relegation roundSilkeborg1025315–15011
8, Relegation roundRanders FC1031611–16-510

Season 2026/27

Full table

Danish Superliga on the same day

  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.2
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.1
  • AGFViborgpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.0

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 49% will not happen in roughly 51 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →