Portuguese Primeira Liga, round 9 · Sunday, 25 October, MSK
Sporting CP — Académico Viseu
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 25 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Sporting CP are clear favourites: 79% against 7% for the opponent, draw 14%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.4 in total, against a competition average of 2.7.
Over 2.5 goals — 67%, both teams to score — 52%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Sporting CP are about 1.5 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Sporting CP — Académico Viseu What is xG? | 2.6–0.8 | |
| Sporting CP not to lose | 93% | |
| Académico Viseu not to lose | 21% | |
| No draw | 86% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 52% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 48% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 67% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 33% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Sporting CP
- Sporting CP goals
- Académico Viseu goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 13.10away · Lens2:0
- 09.10away · Braga3:1
- 19.09Arouca2:2
- 13.09away · Famalicão1:1
- 09.09Galatasaray3:1
- 10.10Estoril2:1
- 20.09away · Estrela da Amadora2:0
- 12.09Vitória de Guimarães2:1
- 06.09away · Gil Vicente1:0
- 29.08FC Porto0:3
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Champions League | Benfica | 8 | 6 | +17 | 19 |
| 3, Champions League qualifying | Sporting CP | 8 | 5 | +11 | 18 |
| 4, Europa League or Conference League | Santa Clara | 8 | 5 | +8 | 18 |
| 5, Europa League or Conference League | Arouca | 8 | 4 | +4 | 14 |
| 6 | Académico Viseu | 8 | 4 | +1 | 14 |
| 7 | Alverca | 8 | 3 | +1 | 11 |
Primeira Liga on the same day
- EstorilMoreirensepreliminary4329281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.5
- NacionalBragapreliminary1827552The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.7
- Rio AveFamalicãopreliminary2630442The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 79% will not happen in roughly 21 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →