Ligue 1, round 7 · Saturday, 17 October, MSK
Strasbourg — Paris Saint-Germain
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 17 October
In short
Paris Saint-Germain are clear favourites: 64% against 14% for the opponent, draw 22%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.2 in total, against a competition average of 2.8.
Over 2.5 goals — 62%, both teams to score — 61%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Paris Saint-Germain are about 1.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Strasbourg — Paris Saint-Germain What is xG? | 1.1–2.1 | |
| Strasbourg not to lose | 36% | |
| Paris Saint-Germain not to lose | 86% | |
| No draw | 78% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 61% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 39% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 62% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 38% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Strasbourg
- Strasbourg goals
- Paris Saint-Germain goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 10.10Le Mans3:1
- 20.09away · Marseille2:1
- 13.09away · Brest1:0
- 09.09Slovan Bratislava6:1
- 04.09Monaco1:2
Head to head
- 01.02.2026Strasbourg — Paris Saint-Germain1:2
- 17.10.2025Paris Saint-Germain — Strasbourg3:3
- 03.05.2025Strasbourg — Paris Saint-Germain2:1
- 19.10.2024Paris Saint-Germain — Strasbourg4:2
- 02.02.2024Strasbourg — Paris Saint-Germain1:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5, Europa League or Conference League | Paris FC | 6 | 3 | +4 | 11 |
| 6, Europa League or Conference League | Paris Saint-Germain | 6 | 3 | +3 | 11 |
| 7 | Brest | 6 | 2 | +3 | 8 |
| 10 | Lens | 6 | 2 | +1 | 7 |
| 11 | Strasbourg | 6 | 2 | -1 | 7 |
| 12 | Angers | 6 | 2 | -3 | 7 |
Ligue 1 on the same day
- 5923171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.7
- 1018722The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 64% will not happen in roughly 36 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →