Liga MX (Mexico), round 13 · Wednesday, 21 October, MSK
Tigres — León
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 21 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Tigres are clear favourites: 58% against 18% for the opponent, draw 24%.
2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.9).
Over 2.5 goals — 54%, both teams to score — 55%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Tigres are about 0.6 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Tigres — León What is xG? | 1.9–1.0 | |
| Tigres not to lose | 82% | |
| León not to lose | 42% | |
| No draw | 76% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 55% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 45% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 54% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 46% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
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- Handicap Tigres
- Tigres goals
- León goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10away · Puebla1:1
- 28.09FC Juárez2:1
- 21.09away · Querétaro FC1:1
- 15.09Atlético de San Luis2:0
- 11.09away · Pumas1:3
Head to head
- 01.02.2026León — Tigres1:2
- 14.09.2025Tigres — León0:0
- 23.02.2025León — Tigres1:0
- 28.09.2024Tigres — León2:2
- 18.01.2024León — Tigres1:2
Table
Liga MX on the same day
- ChivasNecaxapreliminary6522141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.2
- Atlético de San LuisQuerétaro FCpreliminary3928331The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
- FC JuárezAtlantepreliminary3529372The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:23.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 58% will not happen in roughly 42 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →