Serie A, round 8 · Friday, 23 October, MSK
Torino — Monza
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 23 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Torino are clear favourites: 46% against 22% for the opponent, draw 31%.
2.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 43%, both teams to score — 52%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Torino are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Torino — Monza What is xG? | 1.4–1.0 | |
| Torino not to lose | 78% | |
| Monza not to lose | 54% | |
| No draw | 69% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 52% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 48% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 43% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 57% |
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Form
- 11.10away · Lazio1:3
- 18.09Sassuolo2:1
- 13.09away · Lecce2:3
- 06.09away · Parma1:1
- 01.09away · Torino1:0
Head to head
- 01.09.2026Torino — Monza0:1
- 02.03.2025Monza — Torino0:2
- 24.11.2024Torino — Monza1:1
- 30.03.2024Torino — Monza1:0
- 11.11.2023Monza — Torino1:1
Table
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →