English Premier League, round 7 · Monday, 19 October, MSK
Tottenham Hotspur — Coventry City
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 19 October
In short
Tottenham Hotspur are slightly stronger: 45% against 27%, draw 27%.
2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).
Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 57%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Tottenham Hotspur are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Tottenham Hotspur — Coventry City What is xG? | 1.6–1.2 | |
| Tottenham Hotspur not to lose | 73% | |
| Coventry City not to lose | 55% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 57% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 43% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 52% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 48% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Tottenham Hotspur
- Tottenham Hotspur goals
- Coventry City goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10away · Manchester United1:1
- 19.09Aston Villa2:3
- 15.09away · Liverpool1:3
- 12.09Everton0:0
- 05.09away · Nottingham Forest0:0
- 12.10Newcastle United4:1
- 19.09away · Nottingham Forest1:0
- 16.09Aston Villa1:3
- 13.09Brighton & Hove Albion0:5
- 05.09away · Manchester City0:1
Head to head
- 18.09.2024Coventry City — Tottenham Hotspur1:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Manchester United | 6 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| 14 | Coventry City | 6 | 2 | -6 | 6 |
| 15 | Nottingham Forest | 6 | 1 | -3 | 5 |
| 18, Relegation | AFC Bournemouth | 6 | 0 | -6 | 3 |
| 19, Relegation | Tottenham Hotspur | 6 | 0 | -6 | 3 |
| 20, Relegation | Fulham | 6 | 0 | -4 | 2 |
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →