Taca de Portugal (Portuguese Cup), round 3 · Saturday, 17 October, MSK
União de Leiria — Bragança
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 17 October
In short
União de Leiria are slightly stronger: 45% against 29%, draw 26%.
2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.0).
Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: União de Leiria — Bragança What is xG? | 1.6–1.2 | |
| União de Leiria not to lose | 71% | |
| Bragança not to lose | 55% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 52% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 48% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap União de Leiria
- União de Leiria goals
- Bragança goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 19.09away · O Elvas2:0
- 11.01away · Torreense1:3
- 17.12away · Vila Meã1:0
- 22.11away · S.U. 1 de Dezembro3:1
- 18.10Alverca2:2
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Taca de Portugal on the same day
- 1320672The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:33.0
- 3627382The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.8
- 2525502The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.8
- 1722612The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:32.9
- 7019111The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.1
- 2926452The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:32.8
- 1823592The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.9
- 1622622The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →