CONMEBOL Copa Sudamericana, playoff · Wednesday, 21 October, MSK
Vasco da Gama — Boca Juniors
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 21 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Vasco da Gama are clear favourites: 46% against 25% for the opponent, draw 28%.
2.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.3).
Over 2.5 goals — 42%, both teams to score — 47%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Vasco da Gama are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Vasco da Gama — Boca Juniors What is xG? | 1.4–1.0 | |
| Vasco da Gama not to lose | 75% | |
| Boca Juniors not to lose | 54% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 47% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 53% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 42% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 58% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Vasco da Gama
- Vasco da Gama goals
- Boca Juniors goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 11.10Remo0:0
- 08.10away · Botafogo2:1
- 20.09Coritiba5:0
- 16.09Santa Fe2:0
- 12.09away · Grêmio2:1
- 10.10away · Instituto2:2
- 03.10Unión3:0
- 27.09away · Racing Club3:2
- 20.09away · San Lorenzo2:0
- 16.09away · São Paulo1:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →