Serie A, round 7 · Saturday, 17 October, MSK
Venezia — Napoli
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 17 October
In short
Napoli are clear favourites: 67% against 12% for the opponent, draw 21%.
2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 51%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Napoli are about 0.9 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Venezia — Napoli What is xG? | 0.8–1.9 | |
| Venezia not to lose | 33% | |
| Napoli not to lose | 88% | |
| No draw | 79% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 51% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 49% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 53% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 47% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Venezia
- Venezia goals
- Napoli goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 12.10away · Atalanta1:3
- 19.09Lazio0:2
- 11.09Fiorentina2:4
- 06.09away · Frosinone2:3
- 02.09away · Udinese1:2
- 13.10away · Villarreal1:3
- 10.10Frosinone3:0
- 20.09away · Fiorentina1:1
- 13.09Bologna1:0
- 09.09Arsenal0:1
Head to head
- 16.03.2025Venezia — Napoli0:0
- 29.12.2024Napoli — Venezia1:0
- 06.02.2022Venezia — Napoli0:2
- 22.08.2021Napoli — Venezia2:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Como | 6 | 3 | +3 | 11 |
| 8 | Napoli | 6 | 3 | +4 | 10 |
| 9 | Frosinone | 6 | 3 | +2 | 10 |
| 19, Relegation | Fiorentina | 6 | 1 | -7 | 4 |
| 20, Relegation | Venezia | 6 | 0 | -11 | 0 |
Serie A on the same day
- 1625592The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.7
- 6524111The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 67% will not happen in roughly 33 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →