Taca de Portugal (Portuguese Cup), round 3 · Saturday, 17 October, MSK
Vianense — Leixões
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 17 October
In short
Leixões are slightly stronger: 45% against 29%, draw 26%.
2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.0).
Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Leixões are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Vianense — Leixões What is xG? | 1.2–1.6 | |
| Vianense not to lose | 55% | |
| Leixões not to lose | 71% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 52% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 48% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Vianense
- Vianense goals
- Leixões goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 20.09away · Estrela Calheta3:1
- 19.10away · UF Comércio e Indústria0:3
- 21.09away · Trofense3:2
- 21.09Portimonense1:3
- 20.09away · Cinfães4:0
- 23.11away · Vila Meã1:2
- 19.10away · Amarante FC2:1
- 21.09away · Naval1:0
- 23.11Braga0:2
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Taca de Portugal on the same day
- 1320672The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:33.0
- 3627382The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.8
- 2525502The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.8
- 1722612The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:32.9
- 7019111The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.1
- 1823592The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.9
- 1622622The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.0
- 4526291The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →