A-League Men (Australia), round 2 · Saturday, 24 October, MSK
Western Sydney Wanderers FC — Auckland FC
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 24 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Auckland FC are slightly stronger: 43% against 30%, draw 27%.
2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).
Over 2.5 goals — 55%, both teams to score — 60%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Auckland FC are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Western Sydney Wanderers FC — Auckland FC What is xG? | 1.3–1.6 | |
| Western Sydney Wanderers FC not to lose | 57% | |
| Auckland FC not to lose | 70% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 60% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 40% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 55% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 45% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Western Sydney Wanderers FC
- Western Sydney Wanderers FC goals
- Auckland FC goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 25.04Melbourne Victory0:2
- 18.04away · Wellington Phoenix1:2
- 11.04Sydney FC0:2
- 04.04away · Melbourne City FC0:3
- 20.03Adelaide United2:4
- 23.05Sydney FC1:0
- 15.05away · Adelaide United3:0
- 09.05Adelaide United1:1
- 02.05Melbourne City FC1:1
- 26.04away · Sydney FC2:2
Head to head
- 19.12.2025Western Sydney Wanderers FC — Auckland FC0:2
- 25.10.2025Auckland FC — Western Sydney Wanderers FC1:0
- 05.04.2025Auckland FC — Western Sydney Wanderers FC1:1
- 26.01.2025Western Sydney Wanderers FC — Auckland FC0:1
A-League on the same day
- Newcastle JetsMacarthur FCpreliminary4726271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:23.7
- Melbourne VictoryMelbourne City FCpreliminary4128311The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →