Eredivisie (Netherlands), round 10 · Saturday, 24 October, MSK
Willem II — Cambuur
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 24 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Cambuur are slightly stronger: 41% against 31%, draw 29%.
3.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.3).
Over 2.5 goals — 62%, both teams to score — 67%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Cambuur are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Willem II — Cambuur What is xG? | 1.5–1.7 | |
| Willem II not to lose | 59% | |
| Cambuur not to lose | 69% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 67% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 33% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 62% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 38% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Willem II
- Willem II goals
- Cambuur goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 11.10away · FC Utrecht1:3
- 19.09Fortuna Sittard0:1
- 15.09away · Ajax1:5
- 11.09away · AZ Alkmaar1:1
- 05.09Excelsior0:3
- 11.10away · PEC Zwolle1:0
- 19.09away · ADO Den Haag1:1
- 12.09NEC Nijmegen3:0
- 06.09away · Telstar2:2
- 30.08FC Twente1:4
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | NEC Nijmegen | 8 | 2 | -1 | 9 |
| 12 | Cambuur | 8 | 2 | -8 | 8 |
| 13 | FC Utrecht | 8 | 2 | -11 | 8 |
| 17, Relegation | ADO Den Haag | 8 | 0 | -10 | 3 |
| 18, Relegation | Willem II | 8 | 0 | -16 | 2 |
Eredivisie on the same day
- FC UtrechtPEC Zwollepreliminary6422141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.1
- ADO Den HaagSC Heerenveenpreliminary2728452The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →