Botola Pro (Morocco), round 4 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK

Wydad Casablanca — US Amal Tiznit

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Model prediction for 18 October

Wydad Casablanca63%
Draw21%
US Amal Tiznit16%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Wydad Casablanca are clear favourites: 63% against 16% for the opponent, draw 21%.

The model expects plenty of goals: 3.6 in total, against a competition average of 2.2.

Over 2.5 goals — 69%, both teams to score — 64%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Wydad Casablanca are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Wydad Casablanca — US Amal Tiznit What is xG?2.4–1.1
Wydad Casablanca not to lose84%
US Amal Tiznit not to lose37%
No draw79%
Both teams to score: yes64%
Both teams to score: no36%
Total over 2.569%
Total under 2.531%

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  • Handicap Wydad Casablanca
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  • US Amal Tiznit goals
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Form

Wydad Casablanca

  • 11.10CODM Meknès0:0
  • 03.10away · Difaâ El Jadida2:0
  • 26.09Widad Temara1:3
  • 05.07Union Touarga Sport1:2
  • 02.07away · RS Berkane0:2

US Amal Tiznit

  • 10.10Difaâ El Jadida2:5
  • 02.10away · FUS Rabat1:0
  • 24.09Ittihad Tanger1:3

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
8FAR Rabat21103–2+14
9Wydad Casablanca31113–304
10Widad Temara31023–303
13, Relegation play-offDifaâ El Jadida31027–10-33
14, Relegation play-offUS Amal Tiznit31024–8-43
15, RelegationFUS Rabat40222–4-22

Season 2026/27

Full table

Botola Pro on the same day

  • XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:11.8

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 63% will not happen in roughly 37 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →