Uzbekistan Super League, round 25 · Monday, 26 October, MSK
Xorazm — Navbahor Namangan
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 26 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Navbahor Namangan are clear favourites: 57% against 19% for the opponent, draw 24%.
2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).
Over 2.5 goals — 47%, both teams to score — 47%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Navbahor Namangan are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Xorazm — Navbahor Namangan What is xG? | 0.9–1.7 | |
| Xorazm not to lose | 43% | |
| Navbahor Namangan not to lose | 81% | |
| No draw | 76% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 47% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 53% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 47% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 53% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Xorazm
- Xorazm goals
- Navbahor Namangan goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 07.10away · Neftchi Fargona2:2
- 21.09Qizilqum Zarafshon1:3
- 10.09Sogdiana0:0
- 03.09away · AGMK0:1
- 25.08away · Andijon0:1
- 11.10away · AGMK2:2
- 17.09Dinamo Samarkand3:2
- 11.09away · Buxoro4:1
- 04.09Lokomotiv Tashkent1:1
- 26.08away · Mashal Muborak2:0
Head to head
- 02.08.2026Navbahor Namangan — Xorazm5:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Pakhtakor Tashkent | 23 | 15 | +21 | 52 |
| 3 | Navbahor Namangan | 23 | 13 | +18 | 45 |
| 4 | Lokomotiv Tashkent | 23 | 11 | +9 | 38 |
| 13 | Kokand 1912 | 23 | 5 | -8 | 23 |
| 14 | Xorazm | 23 | 5 | -14 | 22 |
| 15 | Bunyodkor Tashkent | 23 | 7 | -16 | 22 |
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 57% will not happen in roughly 43 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →