AHL (American Hockey League) · Sunday, 25 October, MSK

Abbotsford Canucks — Calgary Wranglers

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Model prediction for 25 October

Abbotsford Canucks45%
Draw in regulation21%
Calgary Wranglers34%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Abbotsford Canucks are favourites: 56% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.8).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 55%.

Why

  • Abbotsford Canucks are more dangerous in attack: 3.0 expected goals against 2.6.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Abbotsford Canucks — Calgary Wranglers3.0–2.6
Abbotsford Canucks to win (incl. OT and shootout)56%
Calgary Wranglers to win (incl. OT and shootout)44%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)55%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)45%

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Form

Abbotsford Canucks

  • 11.10away · Colorado Eagles4:3
  • 10.10away · Colorado Eagles3:4 SO
  • 04.10away · Calgary Wranglers2:4
  • 03.10away · Calgary Wranglers2:4
  • 20.04away · Coachella Valley Firebirds4:2

Calgary Wranglers

  • 11.10Bakersfield Condors4:5
  • 10.10Bakersfield Condors2:1
  • 04.10Abbotsford Canucks4:2
  • 03.10Abbotsford Canucks4:2
  • 19.04away · Colorado Eagles7:5

Head to head

  • 04.10.2026Calgary Wranglers — Abbotsford Canucks4:2
  • 03.10.2026Calgary Wranglers — Abbotsford Canucks4:2
  • 12.04.2026Calgary Wranglers — Abbotsford Canucks0:4
  • 11.04.2026Calgary Wranglers — Abbotsford Canucks4:5
  • 01.03.2026Calgary Wranglers — Abbotsford Canucks2:3 SO

Full record: 38 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−PtsP%
4Laval Rocket430116–7+96.750
5Calgary Wranglers430114–10+46.750
6Colorado Eagles430114–10+46.750
23Hamilton Hammers411214–17-33.375
24Abbotsford Canucks411211–15-43.375
25Texas Stars41129–15-63.375

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss, ranked by points percentage

Full table

AHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →