AHL (American Hockey League) · Sunday, 25 October, MSK

Chicago Wolves — Milwaukee Admirals

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Model prediction for 25 October

Chicago Wolves39%
Draw in regulation22%
Milwaukee Admirals39%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Close to a coin flip: Chicago Wolves 50%, Milwaukee Admirals 50% including overtime.

The model expects few goals: 5.5 in total, against a competition average of 5.8.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 52%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.7 and 2.7.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Chicago Wolves — Milwaukee Admirals2.7–2.7
Chicago Wolves to win (incl. OT and shootout)50%
Milwaukee Admirals to win (incl. OT and shootout)50%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)52%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)48%

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Form

Chicago Wolves

  • 11.10away · Grand Rapids Griffins1:5
  • 11.10Manitoba Moose1:6
  • 04.10away · Manitoba Moose3:8
  • 03.10away · Manitoba Moose0:3
  • 20.06away · Toronto Marlies3:4

Milwaukee Admirals

  • 11.10Grand Rapids Griffins4:1
  • 04.10away · Rockford IceHogs3:1
  • 26.04away · Manitoba Moose1:2
  • 25.04away · Manitoba Moose1:2
  • 23.04away · Manitoba Moose4:1

Head to head

  • 19.04.2026Chicago Wolves — Milwaukee Admirals5:1
  • 19.04.2026Chicago Wolves — Milwaukee Admirals3:0
  • 12.04.2026Milwaukee Admirals — Chicago Wolves4:3 SO
  • 29.03.2026Chicago Wolves — Milwaukee Admirals2:3 OT
  • 03.03.2026Milwaukee Admirals — Chicago Wolves3:4

Full record: 36 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−PtsP%
1Utica Comets33008–4+461.000
2Milwaukee Admirals22007–2+541.000
3Manitoba Moose430118–6+126.750
31Lehigh Valley Phantoms30128–15-71.167
32Chicago Wolves40045–22-170.000

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss, ranked by points percentage

Full table

AHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →