Swiss National League (hockey) · Friday, 23 October, MSK
Ajoie — Servette
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 23 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Servette are clear favourites: 63% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.4).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 47%.
Why
- Servette are more dangerous in attack: 2.9 expected goals against 2.3.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Ajoie — Servette | 2.3–2.9 | |
| Ajoie to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 37% | |
| Servette to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 63% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 47% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 53% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Ajoie
- Ajoie goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10Langnau Tigers5:4 OT
- 08.10away · Fribourg2:7
- 04.10Lugano5:4
- 02.10away · Davos1:3
- 29.09Lausanne3:0
Head to head
- 18.09.2026Servette — Ajoie3:4 SO
- 07.03.2026Ajoie — Servette2:6
- 06.12.2025Servette — Ajoie6:1
- 15.11.2025Ajoie — Servette2:0
- 09.09.2025Servette — Ajoie5:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Zurich | 10 | 7 | +18 | 27 |
| 2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Servette | 11 | 5 | +4 | 21 |
| 3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Langnau Tigers | 11 | 5 | +7 | 19 |
| 4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Fribourg | 11 | 4 | +9 | 18 |
| 5, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Ajoie | 11 | 2 | -3 | 16 |
| 6, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Lugano | 10 | 4 | +3 | 15 |
National League on the same day
- DavosBernpreliminary62381The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.8
- FribourgBielpreliminary68321The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 4:25.2
- LuganoEHC Klotenpreliminary70301The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 3:14.9
- Rapperswil-JonaAmbri-Piottapreliminary60401The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.4
- ZugLausannepreliminary54461The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.0
- ZurichLangnau Tigerspreliminary68321The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 3:15.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →